Curious on the expert opinions out there. I am looking at success rates in certain OTC areas for elk, and low to no PP deer hunts, and the results bring up something I have always wondered. If you take into account meat, trophy, party hunters, etc., what would success rates be if broken down? In other words, is there much of a statistical impact on the success rates if trophy hunters hold out, or meat hunters shoot any legal animal?
Let's look at a highly publicly hunted area, take 62 for example. Lots of hunters, good chunk of them are probably "meat" hunters. The last few years, it's hovered around 50% for deer, give or take. Now, of the people who did not fill a tag, how many of them do you think could have had deer, but chose rather to eat the tag instead of shooting a forky or something else? I figure there are just a few reasons someone does not fill a tag, such as:
1) Didn't get out of truck
2) Put in some effort, but didn't see a legal deer
2) Saw a legal deer, but missed the shot
4) Saw a legal deer, but held out for something bigger that never came along.
I know it can't be accurately determined, but just curious what you all think. If you have a hunter who is willing to put boots on the ground, willing to take any legal animal, and can make a shot, what would their "success" be in an area like this? How much do the road hunters, trophy hunters, etc., draw down the success rate?
Interesting to ponder. There were 1369 deer hunters there in 2010. 758 got deer, for a 55% success. Of the 600 that didn't get one, where do they fall? Interesting to ponder.