I respectfully disagree. I do believe it could happen here. Many people look internationally to see where we should be headed.
Guns were confiscated in New Orleans by the local government after the hurricane. Who would have thought that the government would go door to door taking legally owned guns from its citizens? But it did happen.
I am sure there were those that believed they would never ban fox hunting in England. There is a tradition that is older than our country and yet, it was banned.
You're right that this is all conjecture at this point. No one knows for sure what will happen.
For some the abortion is their number one political driver - for me it is protection of the second amendment. No other political issue is more important to me so maybe that is why we see things a bit differently.